Publications

Journal Articles

Kubo, A., & Sawada, Y. (2026). Parametric Uncertainty in Prediction of AMOC Weakening by an Earth System Model.
Kubo, A., & Sawada, Y. (2025). Predictability of climate tipping focusing on the internal variability of the Earth system. Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2024GL113146.

Peer-Reviewed Conference Presentations

Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Uncertainty Quantification of an Earth System Model for risk assessment of Climate Tipping via Non-stationary Extreme Events.” JpGU-AGU 2026, Makuhari, May 2026 (Oral).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Uncertainty Quantification of an Earth System Model for risk assessment of Climate Tipping via Non-stationary Extreme Events.” EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, May 2026 (Poster).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Manifold Learning-aided Offline Parameter Uncertainty Quantification of an Earth System Model Using Observation of Changing Climate.” Asia Oceania Geoscience Society, Singapore, Jul. 2025 (Oral).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Manifold learning-aided offline parameter estimation of an Earth system model using observation of changing climate.” Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Makuhari, May 2025 (Oral).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Manifold learning-aided offline parameter estimation of an Earth system model using observation of changing climate.” Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2025, Makuhari, May 2025 (Poster).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Predictability of climate tipping: data assimilation approach.” American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2024, Washington D.C., Dec. 2024 (Poster).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Predictability of climate tipping: data assimilation approach.” The 10th International Symposium on Data Assimilation, Kobe, Oct. 2024.
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Predictability of climate tipping: data assimilation approach.” Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024, Makuhari, May 2024 (Oral).

Workshops

Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Efficient Uncertainty Quantification of climate projection for Risk Assessment of Climate Tipping.” AI・DA Workshop 2025, Kanazawa, Ishikawa, Japan, Oct. 2025 (Oral).
Amane Kubo, Yohei Sawada. “Predictability of climate tipping: data assimilation approach.” Paleoclimate Modelers' Workshop 2024, Tokyo, Mar. 2024 (Poster).